Ariana Geerlings vs Kaitlin Quevedo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Geerlings has a slightly lower second serve success rate at 35.41% compared to Quevedo's 37.93%. Could this give Quevedo a subtle edge?
• When it comes to returning, Geerlings excels with 54.34% success on opponent's second serves, outperforming Quevedo's 52.41%.
• Both players have similar first serve return stats, with Geerlings at 37.34% and Quevedo close behind at 37.15%.
• On breakpoints, Quevedo has a slight advantage, saving 47.28% compared to Geerlings' 45.47% in recent form.
• Geerlings has a marginally higher match win percentage over the last year (64.29%) compared to Quevedo's 61.97%.
• On clay courts, Geerlings appears stronger with a 67% win rate, whereas Quevedo excels on hard surfaces with a 74% win rate.
• Both players have similar success rates in Challenger/ITF tournaments; Geerlings boasts 62.5% wins, just slightly lower than Quevedo's 63.24%.
• In direct encounters, Geerlings leads with one win against Quevedo, having also won the majority of sets played.
• The average length of their matches is around 2 hours and 21 minutes, indicating closely contested games.
• In deciding set scenarios, Geerlings has been more successful, winning 64% of the time recently versus Quevedo's 59%.
• Opponent quality indicates that Quevedo has faced tougher competition, with an average rival ranking of 321.52 compared to Geerlings’ 401.32.
• Break point conversion rates are nearly identical, but Quevedo holds a slight incremental edge with recent stats.

Editorial Prediction (August 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Geerlings and Quevedo promises to be a thrilling contest, given their closely matched statistics and previous encounters.

Geerlings demonstrates superior performance on clay surfaces, which might offer an advantage. However, Quevedo's consistent second serve strength and past opponents' quality suggest strong resilience.

While Geerlings has performed better in third set situations historically, Quevedo's greater breakpoint-saving ability could prove crucial during high-pressure moments.

Although Quevedo could be slightly favored due to experience against higher-ranked opponents, Geerlings’ past victory in their direct matchup tips the balance in her favor.

Given these insights, Ariana Geerlings seems more likely to secure the win in their upcoming match.